Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.777491 8.655119 9.640736 10.839927 12.273743 13.951611 16.091751
2025-01-05 6.247530 7.342277 8.680068 10.472365 12.871779 16.070366 20.841970
2025-01-12 5.338832 6.481202 7.950878 10.045071 13.071702 17.505912 24.991545
2025-01-19 4.756249 5.914019 7.462173 9.776405 13.334804 18.984873 29.665827
2025-01-26 4.386898 5.568749 7.203402 9.754444 13.909902 21.046721 36.231674
2025-02-02 4.294142 5.582135 7.435117 10.480102 15.809557 25.955810 51.515030
2025-02-09 4.140461 5.485776 7.484045 10.912441 17.299063 30.665437 70.634405
2025-02-16 3.918578 5.264173 7.310343 10.936602 18.026953 34.057782 89.965620
2025-02-23 3.782290 5.156641 7.300035 11.236308 19.366292 39.513754 125.562195
2025-03-02 3.527700 4.845461 6.927149 10.821011 19.099773 40.679050 144.875952
2025-03-09 3.328255 4.606508 6.652659 10.554032 19.107321 42.666920 174.157863
2025-03-16 3.172608 4.426237 6.461060 10.420651 19.395112 45.690933 221.080387
2025-03-23 3.082640 4.358794 6.479553 10.753722 21.028088 54.801008 387.535444
2025-03-30 2.890200 4.113700 6.170787 10.390357 20.845698 57.424655 522.492077
2025-04-06 2.708907 3.875167 5.853668 9.967952 20.409031 58.840874 679.509983
2025-04-13 2.566880 3.693223 5.623746 9.702312 20.347361 62.018168 1009.014514
2025-04-20 2.470367 3.581683 5.512762 9.680597 20.986806 69.336268 2159.101464
2025-04-27 2.472833 3.638210 5.717570 10.398000 24.131636 95.496441 212960.975074
2025-05-04 2.437797 3.626611 5.791071 10.825288 26.569449 124.125042 NaN
2025-05-11 2.361651 3.537221 5.704359 10.849164 27.614256 145.169149 NaN
2025-05-18 2.318036 3.503148 5.724335 11.145308 29.847153 188.031272 NaN
2025-05-25 2.209993 3.346512 5.484489 10.734934 29.087121 191.625472 NaN
2025-06-01 2.122645 3.223864 5.306975 10.471072 28.886122 204.290540 NaN